Global Warming

Research to Date on Forecasting for the Manmade Global Warming Alarm (Scott Armstrong, Kesten Green, and Willie Soon; Environment & Climate News)
“The validity of the man-made global warming alarm requires the support of scientific forecasts of (1) a substantive long-term rise in global mean temperatures in the absence of regulations, (2) serious net harmful effects due to global warming, and (3) cost-effective regulations that would produce net beneficial effects versus alternatives such as doing nothing. …” Evidence-based forecasting principles audits found (1) violated 81% of 89 relevant forecasting principles and (3) violated 85% of 90 relevant principles. “… We conducted a validation test of the IPCC forecasts based on the assumption that there would be no interventions. This test found that the errors for IPCC model long-term forecasts (91 to 100 years in the future) were 12.6 times larger than those from an evidence-based ‘no change’ model. Based on our analyses, we concluded that the global warming alarm is an anti-scientific political movement. We then turned to the ‘structured analogies’ method to forecast the likely outcomes of this movement. In this ongoing study, we have, to date, identified 26 historical alarmist movements. None of the forecasts for the analogous alarms proved correct. In the 25 alarms that called for government intervention, the government impos[ed] regulations in 23. None of the 23 interventions was effective and harm was caused by 20 of them. Our findings on the scientific evidence related to global warming forecasts lead to the following recommendations:
1. End government funding for climate change research
2. End government funding for research predicated on global warming (e.g., alternative energy; CO2 reduction; habitat loss)
3. End government programs and repeal regulations predicated on global warming
4. End government support for organizations that lobby or campaign predicated on global warming.”
www.CornwallAlliance.org.